Working inside stablemate Pioneer of Medina in his final Derby drill he was doing everything well within himself and was just gliding over the ground. We will also touch on the latest Future Wager and see who might be the overlays come September. Read More, Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. After next week everything will be sorted out and we should have a better idea where all these horses should be ranked. It all comes down to this: Essential Quality is an undefeated champion who is the most logical No. Both horses actually turned in the same time of :48 for the half; they just did it in different ways. Baffert has always been very high on this colt and we will see how he adapts if they change tactics with the speedy Caddo River and let him roll this time. But for now I wouldnt discourage anyone who wants to include him in their exotics. A class test awaits in stakes company for his next start, likely in the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes March 5 at Gulfstream Park. 3, especially considering he is an undefeated champion and his Blue Grass victory was exactly the prep he needed for the Kentucky Derby, where he no doubt will be favored unless Concert Tour does something exceptional in the Arkansas Derby. Aqueduct in early April often is slow, but not this slow. He is not a horse who is going to wow a lot people with his brilliance, but he has drawn off in the final eighth to win by open lengths in all four of his victories and somehow managed to get a sensational 1 on Thoro-Graph in the Florida Derby, the second fastest number run by a 3-year-old, topped only by Taibas Santa Anita Derby. We do not collect any personal information and we do not provide any of the information to third-party services. Might as well give him another shot with six weeks to regroup. Horses have bad days for various reasons. on Monday, April 5th, 2021 at 11:21 am and is filed under Derby Rankings. But I do have to say I love his works, especially his most recent five-furlong drill in 1:01 2/5 at Palm Meadows in which he was strong from the beginning. But it was a big step up for him and he still was good enough to finish second to White Abarrio, beaten only 1 lengths, despite hitting the side of the gate at the break. Expect different tactics this time. Essential Quality(Brad Cox, Tapit Delightful Quality, by Elusive Quality) He was always in perfect position in the Santa Anita Derby, stalking a fast pace set by Rock Your World, but when the winner accelerated on the far turn he could not match strides with him, and like in the San Felipe he got the best of Dream Shake in the final furlong for second. Our mailing list is never sold or viewed by anyone other than Secretariat.com. I am looking at him as a horse who has had more than three starts because I have never seen a horse gallop out after a race the way he does and comes back as if he wants to go around again. All company and product names, logos, services used and identified on www.mallscenters.com are for identification/informational purposes only. That came despite his time of 1:50.42, not particularly quick relative to the 1 1/16-mile Fantasy Stakes earlier that day at Oaklawn Park in 1:43.65. If that is the case, what is going to happen when he stretches out to a mile and a quarter? This horse is just different, which is why I have had him ranked so high off two starts and never having run on dirt. Away somewhat awkwardly in the Santa After Derby, he was sent up by John Velazquez to chase pacesetting Forbidden Kingdom, logical tactics against the race favorite. But this was not a horse running off. However, Mendelssohn became seriously agitated in the walk over from the stable area . Only downside, they don't sell any cold beer to wash down your spicy, delicious food. Brian Hernandez was not about to strangle him and just let him roll while Corey Lanerie, finding himself some four or five lengths behind, just let his horse work on his own, paying no attention to Tiz the Bomb, who finished three lengths in front. Social Media Policy. What are people saying about mexican restaurants near Rowland Heights, CA? Will definitely be coming back". But despite having only three career starts, Rock Your World is the one horse who possesses freakish qualities you rarely see. By using this website you agree. One of these hes going to squeeze his way in, but I would think it will be against lesser company in a smaller field. I do know he is going to be a decent price in the Derby and if you still believe in him youre going to get great odds on a horse who once was the clear-cut favorite. Look, there is nothing wrong with running hard in big stakes and picking up a check each time. Please read Disclaimer Page for copyright information. Four horses definitely in the Derby if their connections wish to go are REBELS ROMANCE and PANADOL, one-two in the UAE Derby, and LIKE THE KING and SAINTHOOD, one-two in the Jeff Ruby Steaks. Copyright 20042023 Yelp Inc. Yelp, , and related marks are registered trademarks of Yelp. When a horse has been running Thoro-Graph numbers of 11 and makes a giant leap to a 3 1/2 there are several factors to consider. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. 2 Epicenter (Steve Asmussen, Not This Time Silent Candy, by Candy Ride). Those looking for a live longshot to throw into their exotics in the Derby may want to consider this colt. And for those who follow it, he is now the only one among the Derby hopefuls to earn a 100 Beyer this year. But here is why he has been an enigma. His lone defeat in five starts came at Churchill when third in last fall's Kentucky Jockey Club, but horseplayers shouldn't harbor concerns about him not liking the surface. Award-winning BloodHorse senior correspondent Steve Haskin presents his latest Derby Dozen, taking a look at his leading contenders for the 143rd Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! By comparison the fractions of the Santa Anita Oaks run earlier were :24 1/5, :49 1:13, and 1:38. When they really let him open up in a work he went his half in an eye-catching :46 2/5, but was never being urged. He is maturing physically, and being by Tiznow, his most powerful weapon appears to be tenacity and the ability to not let horses get by him in the stretch. The buzz surrounding him keeps growing with every gallop and workout, and with all the rave reviews there is now a good chance he will go off as favorite, but it still should be close with Epicenter, who has been training at Churchill Downs now for several weeks. But he gives 100 percent every time and you know youre in a race when you go up against him. But to his credit he did come home his final three-eighths in a respectable :37 1/5. Though no match for Zandon's stretch kick in the Blue Grass, he also turned in a performance that suggests he can threaten on the first Saturday in May. Yes, hes down to No. Known Agenda (Todd Pletcher, Curlin Byrama, by Byron) Derby Dozen: Super Stock Rises Following Arkansas Derby Byron King's Top 12 on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, Presented by Spendthrift Farm. Read More, Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. But Casse got him to run much more professionally and he was able to carry his speed farther than one might have thought at that point in his career. Maybe UAE Derby runner-up Panadol. With no races on the horizon, it will be interesting to see what Tagg does with Were going to do something different this week. In the Florida Derby he reverted back to his old speedy ways due to strategy gone wrong and paid the price, getting caught in the middle of a three-horse speed duel, then a two-horse duel through a rapid Brisnet middle pace figure of 113 before tiring a bit in the stretch to finish third. It was no surprise to see a brilliant but lightly raced and untested PREVALENCE struggle on that deep track in the Wood. As I mentioned his speed figures have been through the roof and he could be a freakishly talented colt who can overcome all handicapping logic. 3 Smile Happy (Ken McPeek, Runhappy Pleasant Smile, by Pleasant Tap). With only one easy victory in the slop in five months he needed to have a tough race, and what made this a perfect prep is that he fought hard to beat a very good horse by a neck and most important there was a 5 1/2-length gap back to the third horse. Mo Donegal is a classy horse he nipped Zandon by a nose in the Remsen Stakes after bumping him late, though stewards took no action to disqualify him. 10. Hes been working at Churchill Downs so long you can call him the house horse. Arrogate, a gray son of Unbridled's Song bred in Kentucky by Clearsky Farms, won the Eclipse Award for champion 3-year-old male in 2016 and holds the North American record for career earnings with . But I will be a spectator and just enjoy the show. This entry was posted It would have to be him, as his wire-to-wire victory in the LeComte Stakes has been long forgotten by most people and in his last two starts racing just off the pace he didnt have the closing kick to get the job done. Everyone agrees he has looked like a freak in his two starts and clearly is the fastest horse in the field. Though he is more experienced than Taiba, it is not by a whole lot. The final race in the Road to the Kentucky Derby prep series the Stonestreet Lexington Stakes is set for Saturday, April 16. Its pretty amazing how many horses who really arent need-the-lead types have set the pace in Derby preps, including him, Rock Your World, Concert Tour, Highly Motivated, Medina Spirit, Soup and Sandwich, and Midnight Bourbon. And on top of that he will have only one work in the four weeks between the Santa Anita Derby and Kentucky Derby, and that work was good, but nothing extraordinary. In fact you can blame him for his work in company with Smile Happy going awry, as he was so keyed up early he basically sprinted clear of his workmate who was supposed to be right up there with him. By Steve Haskin 1. on Monday, May 2nd, 2022 at 8:53 am and is filed under Derby Rankings. Steve Haskin Posting Archive Most Memorable Finishes 1967 - 1985 December 26th, 2022 here have been many memorable finishes over the past half century, so trying to pick out just a handful is a daunting task, but I am going to continue to tackle this challenge that began with my Seattle Slew/Exceller column in October. Find out who else made the list. Omaha Beach remains at the top, as the last Derby Dozen is posted. It might have been different if he didnt drift out from left-handed whipping forcing Essential Quality out. That should help set him up foruh, nothing. Secretariat.com 2023. He has just three starts under his girth, two in maiden races and one in a stakes race. Was it due to the addition of Lasix? He runs hard and always seems very determined, which no doubt helped him battle back in the stretch to win the Tampa Bay Derby going away. This is so incredible to be able to breed a horse like this, Debbie said. And it didnt help that the track was so ridiculously slow. The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. 6 Taiba (Tim Yakteen, Gun Runner Needmore Flattery, by Flatter). He has move-forward potential at Churchill Downs, where he won the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes last fall. As well as he performed to take the April 9 Wood Memorial Presented by Resorts World Casino, he took advantage of a sweet, ground-saving trip. Xbtv.com video shows both horses being noticeably warm in the South Florida weather. Do you know how many horses have swept the Holy Bull, Fountain of Youth, and Florida Derby? I just cant rank him above the top 4. He has a tremendous pedigree, but its just a question of whether he is fast enough now to win the Derby. I do recommend to call in your order if youmore, I bought some tacos and two dozen tamales maybe two weeks ago. He has pretty much fallen off everyones radar screen and his past performances and speed ratings are all over the place, but I have seen too many things I like about him to dismiss him. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. He was out for a long time before returning in the mile and eighth Risen Star Stakes. He went into the Wood Memorial a fresh horse off a two-month layoff and now is fit and sharp and ready for a career-best effort. Both comments and pings are currently closed. According to Trakus, he ran 43 feet farther than the winner, indicating that with a ground-saving trip he would have won by many lengths. Yes he will have to work out a trip and get through the big field, which will require some luck, and closers have not won many Derbys in the last 10 years, but sometimes you cant ignore what is right in front of you, and if you leave him out and he wins you will look back to his sensational :35 2/5 final three-eighths and :11 4/5 final eighth in the Wood Memorial, and his whopping 121 late pace figure on Brisnet and realize too late that he was touting you big-time and you ignored it. 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. Read More, We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: Three Heating Up, Three Cooling Down for Jan. 12 Racing January 12th, 2022 by Mike Curry Simplification, with Javier Castellano up, won the Mucho Macho Stakes by four lengths at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 1. 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Despite the Derby Day assault by the Baffert Brigade, he holds on to the No. Award-winning BloodHorse senior correspondent Steve Haskin unveils his inaugural Derby Dozen this week with a look at his leading contenders for the 146 th Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 2. Instead of being inches apart with Essential Quality unable to get by him, they were now several paths apart with Essential Quality no longer having to look him in the eye. That is because I dont know how he wants to run, how fast he really is, and most important how high his ceiling is. With Highly Motivated now on his wrong lead he just failed to hold off the champ, who got his neck in front right before the wire. In his final work in company with Zozos, more of a maintenance drill, he matched strides with his stablemate, and although he did carry his head a bit high turning for home, he was moving very well in the final eighth to finish on even terms. Dynamic One (Todd Pletcher, Unon Rags Beat the Drums, by Smart Strike) Check outAmerica's Best Racing's Triple Crown pageto keep up to date with stories and statistics on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Coming off a Feb. 4 allowance optional claimer score at Gulfstream, in which he defeated a couple of highly regarded colts from the Pletcher stable, he looks like a graded stakes horse in the making. There is no doubt this colt is coming into his own at the right time. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. reported last week that this colt exited the Holy Bull Stakes in good condition while he awaits the April 2 Curlin Florida Derby at Gulfstream. Marshmallow Milk Stout by Garage Brewing. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top He showed that with his powerful runner-up effort in the Florida Derby coming off two races in which he made enough mistakes to last an entire career. In California, DREAM SHAKE picked up another piece of the purse, but doesnt seem quite ready to move forward in the Derby. That should help set him up foruh, nothing. 4 Messier (Tim Yakteen, Empire Maker Checkered Past, by Smart Strike). 99 Ranch Market. I am not saying he is going to win the Kentucky Derby and Im not saying he isnt regressing, but losing the Florida Derby with a poor ride is not a reason to dismiss him. He is coming off a very impressive victory in the UAE Derby going 1 3/16 miles and was relentless in the stretch going after the loose on the lead Summer is Tomorrow in what was a two-horse race down the stretch. By Byron King March 2, 2021 1. This $1.7 million 2-year-old purchase broke smartly and relaxed in third, allowing Messier to do the dirty work of going after pacesetter Forbidden Kingdom, and then reeled in his stablemate down the stretch to complete 1 1/8 miles in 1:48.46. One other statistic regarding the Santa Anita Derby: Rock Your World set fractions of :22 3/5, :46, 1:10 3/5, and 1:36 1/5. I just dont know if hes quite there yet. Based on running style and overall. SUMMER IS TOMORROW looked like a sure winner in the UAE Derby before Crown Pride corralled him in the final furlong and he should be a pace presence for quite a long way. As for Dynamic One, I fell in love with him off a fourth in a maiden race, in which he had a horrendous trip but showed me all the signs of a top-class horse. He turned in another strong work, going six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 in the fog and working alone. Shuffled back in traffic to be last of 11, his chances of passing the entire field seemed bleak. Hustled away from the gate, he sat closer to the pace than he had in his first three starts, sitting in third after a half-mile. Perfect in two starts, he won a mile maiden race by 6 lengths Dec. 11 before stretching out to two turns and whipping outclassed allowance optional claiming company at Tampa Bay Downs Jan. 30, with both victories coming in fast time. ~ Steve Haskin. I am fully aware it is sacrilegious to have him ranked No. Though he won the Feb. 12 Sam F. Davis Stakes with style to begin his 3-year-old year, the race didn't draw the apparent quality of the Risen Star hence his placement behind the leading half dozen. 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